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Market Prices Are Not Polls: What a Probability Really Represents
Polls summarize responses from a sample. Prediction markets summarize the price at which traders are willing to take risk. Understanding that difference makes both signals more useful.
Prediction Markets Editorial
5 min
Prediction Markets
Why Resolution Rules Matter More Than Market Titles
Two markets can share almost the same title and still describe different bets. The decisive details live in the resolution rules, deadlines, and official sources.
Prediction Markets Editorial
5 min
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