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The Price You See Is Not the Price You Get: Fees, Spreads, and Slippage

A displayed probability is only the starting quote. Spread, order-book depth, slippage, and platform fees determine the price a trader can actually execute—and the return left after costs.

Prediction Markets Editorial

6 min

Prediction Markets

Market Prices Are Not Polls: What a Probability Really Represents

Polls summarize responses from a sample. Prediction markets summarize the price at which traders are willing to take risk. Understanding that difference makes both signals more useful.

Prediction Markets Editorial

5 min

Prediction Markets

Why Resolution Rules Matter More Than Market Titles

Two markets can share almost the same title and still describe different bets. The decisive details live in the resolution rules, deadlines, and official sources.

Prediction Markets Editorial

5 min

Liquidity, Volume, and Open Interest: How to Read Market Activity

A probability can move for very different reasons. Liquidity, volume, and open interest help reveal whether a market price is deep, active, and broadly held—or merely recent.

Prediction Markets Editorial

3 min

Why Prediction Market Gaps Matter More Than a Single Probability

A market’s headline probability tells you what one crowd believes. The gap between platforms can reveal something more useful: where information, liquidity, and rules disagree.

Prediction Markets Editorial

3 min

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